A US News report quotes an intelligence source claiming that the Chinese Communist Party would be prepared to recognize the Taliban terrorist group as the legitimate government of Afghanistan, which would mean a total failure of 20 years of war to stabilize the region.
CCP’s two faces
Publicly the communist dictatorship in Beijing has spoken out as a defender of the Afghan government, which is supported by the West. But the CCP’s public recognition of the Afghan government appears to be more part of its strategy to advance its geopolitical agenda: negotiate with whoever wins.
However, recent Chinese military and intelligence assessments of the realities on the ground in Afghanistan have led Chinese Communist Party leaders to prepare to formalize their relationship with the insurgent network, according to multiple U.S. and foreign intelligence sources familiar with Chinese intelligence reports.
What the Chinese Communist regime wants
The Chinese regime is actively seeking to construct the Peshawar-Kabul highway, which would connect Pakistan to Afghanistan and make Kabul a participant in China’s massive infrastructure and investment plan, the Belt and Road Initiative.
According to Derek Grossman, a senior defense analyst for RAND, “Beijing is also building a major road through the Wakhan Corridor—a slim strip of mountainous territory connecting China’s westernmost province of Xinjiang to Afghanistan—and onward to Pakistan and Central Asia, complementing its existing road network through the region.”
With the construction of the Wakhan Corridor, China would have access to Afghanistan’s mining sector.
With its recent advance, the Taliban terrorist group seized considerable swaths of that territory as part of an apparent campaign to control Afghanistan’s northern border crossings.
Last month, Taliban spokesman Suhail Shaheen said in an interview that ‘China is a friendly country and we welcome it for reconstruction and developing Afghanistan…if [the Chinese] have investments, of course we will ensure their safety.’
However, this claim that the CCP is ‘fighting’ against extremists seeking independence for Xinjiang, a region inhabited by Muslim Uighurs, has been thoroughly discredited as part of the propaganda used by the Chinese regime to justify its crackdown on Uighurs, whom it treats as ‘terrorists.’
In late December 2019, the Hindustan Times reported that 10 Chinese spies who were part of a terrorist cell were arrested in Kabul, Afghanistan.
The CCP spies were intended to carry out attacks on behalf of a former Islamic terrorist group seeking to make the Xinjiang region independent so that Beijing could thus continue to justify its crackdown on Uighurs.
However, the alleged terrorist group, the East Turkestan Islamic Movement, disappeared in 2003 after its leader was assassinated in Pakistan.
In other words, the CCP’s only real interest is economic: to literally make a ‘way’ for itself to advance its one belt, one road project.
Setback for the Biden administration’s strategy
President Joe Biden’s strategy was to isolate the Taliban, imposing sanctions to limit their ability to trade and supply themselves to the point of forcing them to resume peace negotiations with the Afghan government.
“If the Taliban claim to want international legitimacy, these actions are not going to get them the legitimacy they seek,” White House spokeswoman Jen Psaki said Friday. “They could choose to devote the same energy to their peace process as they are to their military campaign. We strongly urge them to do so.”
With the recognition of a strong player in the region like the CCP, the Taliban terrorist group is assured of an important ally. But at the same time, if the Chinese regime actually establishes diplomatic relations with the Taliban, Joe Biden’s strategy of isolating Afghanistan would not work. It would mean the failure of America’s 20-year war against terrorists.
Trump and Pompeo’s attempts
During his tenure as president, Donald Trump, together with Mike Pompeo, managed to sign a peace agreement between the Afghan government, the United States, and the Taliban.
The agreement provided for the withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan and left it in the hands of the government and the Taliban on how to share power to govern the country.
However, the Taliban did not keep their promise of a ceasefire, and the violence in Afghanistan continued even after the signing took place in Qatar.
With the sudden withdrawal of U.S. and other allied troops, the Taliban have taken control of nearly two-thirds of the country, including half of the 34 provincial capitals.
Afghanistan’s capital, Kabul, remains under the control of the Afghan government, but with the Taliban vowing to take it over in a matter of weeks.