Two medical specialists who have been treating cases of respiratory infections for 40 years, at a recent press conference made arguments about the need for the state of California to end the containment measures and revive the economy.
Dr. Daniel W. Erickson and his colleague, Dr. Artin Massih, tested thousands of people and reaffirmed what many epidemiologists around the world have noted about the early spread of the virus in the United States and that it has less impact on the general population than is commonly thought.
The interview with the two specialists that was published by the American Institute for Economic Research contrasts with the announcements that Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, has been making about maintaining the containment measures, claiming that his decision is detrimental to “health and human rights.”
“If you’re going to dance on someone’s constitutional rights you better have a good reason, you better have a really good reason, not just a theory,” Erickson said.
“The data is showing us it’s time to lift (the stay-at-home orders) so if we don’t lift, what is the reason?,” said one of the doctors.
The doctors said that two months ago the country’s response to the threat of the CCP (Chinese Communist Party) Virus, also known as COVID-19, when travel to and from China was restricted was optimal because there was little was known about the virus and its effects.
However, they questioned governments in different states keeping people at home in isolation, noting that those with symptoms of illness are quarantined, but we do not quarantine the healthy. For example a person with measles is quarantined, but people who don’t have measles are not. But this is not what is happening here.
To contextualize the current situation regarding the coronavirus, the experts relied on data that they collected over the past two months.
“So if you look at California—these numbers are from yesterday[April 26]—we have 33,865 COVID cases, out of a total of 280,900 total tested. That’s 12% of Californians were positive for COVID. So we don’t … the initial—as you guys know, the initial models were woefully inaccurate. They predicted millions of cases of death—not of prevalence or incidence—but death.”
As they continued to gather data what they saw was an crease in the number infected but the death rate staid the same. “You have a 0.03% chance of dying from COVID in the state of California. Does that necessitate sheltering in place? Does that necessitate shutting down medical systems? Does that necessitate people being out of work?” were the questions Erickson and Massih asked.
Bearing in mind the data analyzed, they argued that 96% of those people in California who contracted the virus would recover with almost no major adverse medical conditions, which they did not know a few months ago.
“The prevalence number goes up, and the death rate stays the same. So [the death rate] gets smaller and smaller and smaller. And as we move through this data—what I want you to see is—millions of cases” but fewer deaths.
According to the specialists, so far more than 4 million people have been tested for coronavirus and the results indicate that 19.6% have tested positive, “If this is a typical extrapolation, of 328 million people 19.6% is 64 million.
“That’s a significant amount of people with COVID; it’s similar to the flu. If you study the numbers in 2017 and 2018 we had 50 to 60 million with the flu. And we had a similar death rate in deaths the United States were 43,545—similar to the flu of 2017-2018,” they added.
The doctors questioned whether the death rate on record is directly related to people who have died from the CCP Virus, noting that 37,000 to 60,000 deaths are reported in the United States each year but no one is linking it to a pandemic, nor are there any business closings or lockdowns.
On April 6, an experienced medical specialist reported that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is manipulating the number of people who die from coronaviruses.
Dr. Annie Bukacek explained how death certificates are prepared and warned that health specialists can make estimates of a patient’s cause of death that are not necessarily correct.
Meanwhile, authorities in some California cities have also demonstrated against Newsom’s strict containment measures, demanding the reopening of certain businesses.
According to The Fresno Bee, the mayors of nine Stanislaus County cities sent a letter to the California governor urging him to “pursue an aggressive strategy for reopening our county for business. One size does not fit all. A reopening process that may fit, and make sense, for Los Angeles and our neighboring Bay Area regions does not work for our county.”
The Bee also reported that other cities such as Placerville and counties including San Luis Obispo County, Riverside County and Ventura County have joined efforts to get Newsom to agree to gradually lift the closure that is looming over the state.