Dr. Evan Ellis, a former policymaking adviser to the U.S. Department of Defense, said that China could be vulnerable to a food shortage if it attacks Taiwan.
Ellis, who is also a research professor of Latin American studies in the U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute, said he was not positive Beijing could be self-sufficient with its food resources.
During a speech on Dec. 10, China’s President Xi Jinping hinted at self-sufficiency in food supply. That came after China’s Commerce Ministry urged families to prepare stockpiles.
Speaking with the Washington Examiner, Dr. Evan Ellis said, “The reality is that China just doesn’t have the water and land to be food self-sufficient.”
According to the professor, an internationally imminent conflict with Taiwan could isolate China from Western countries that back peace in the region. Some of those countries have been its key food suppliers overseas.
China’s top five food suppliers are Brazil, the U.S., Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. Brazil’s president has been verbal against the communist government.
This could put China in a disadvantageous position, according to Han Wenxiu, deputy director of the Chinese Communist Party Central Committee for Financial and Economic Affairs.
“Our country has a relatively high reliance on imports for primary commodities,” Han said on Saturday.
Xi had said the U.S. would strike China with a food supply cutoff, but Ellis argued that China’s foreign food sources would be affected if it launched a war in its own backyard.
Ellis asked, “Would a lot of ships not dare to cover the insurance to sale through that active warzone? Very probably.”