After China’s Health and Medical Commission announced it would no longer publish data on asymptomatic infections, on December 15, only 2,091 new positive cases were announced in Beijing. This data is not convincing to the public. Currently, people are using the keyword “fever” to search for index analysis. They found that in mid-December, maybe 360 million Chinese people have been infected, raising huge concerns.
Taiwan’s Central News Agency reported that the Urban Data Group is a separate data-driven urban issues communication channel. It was once quoted by Shanghai’s official media Liberation Daily in 2015. On December 10, it published an analysis titled “27 days of 1 billion people,” which has now been deleted and republished by China Digital Times. The information in the article is in line with what the World Health Organization (WHO) said, which is that before the CCP started to relax pandemic measures, infections in China increased sharply.
Taking the three cities, Shanghai, Changchun, and Urumqi this year as an example, the article shows that the search index for the term “fever” correlates with a larger-scale outbreak of the omicron virus. During these severe outbreaks, the relevant search index also reached about twice the baseline.
However, after the first 10 days of November, the relevant indexes of Baoding, Shijiazhuang, Hebei and Beijing have rapidly increased 3 to 4 times or even 5 times the baseline and shows absolutely no signs of stopping.
The article also pointed out that this pandemic wave started earlier than what people think. After announcing the new 20 pandemic measures, on November 11, Shijiazhuang and Xingtai in Hebei province are showing signs of mass infection.
The second wave of infections was in cities including Lanzhou, Luoyang, and Baoding from November 17 to November 18. Then Beijing became the first major city in the country to enter a mass infection wave. It started on November 27; followed by Chongqing, Wuhan, Kunming, and Chengdu. As of December 9, 240 million people in China have been infected.
Because the analysis was performed seven days earlier only after transmissions were confirmed, city infections that began after December 2 were not counted. Therefore, the article added 13 cities with clear infection trends, including Shanghai and Guangzhou with a total population of about 116 million people. In other words, if the uptrend continues, by mid-December, China could have 360 million infected people.
WHO: Sharp increase in infections not related to easing lockdowns
In fact, since the December 14, official announcement that asymptomatic infections will no longer be published, in addition to the Urban Data analysis article, some residents also speculated the peak time of the first wave of infections in each province from big data and charting.
Vision Times said, according to a report by Daxiang News, this dataset was inferred by big data expert “chenqi” through Baidu’s search index, and it was widely disseminated on the internet and quickly became a hot search on Weibo. The map shows that most of the peaks occurred in December. Beijing, Tianjin, and other places have gradually entered peak infection periods, followed by a peaks in infections. Henan, Hubei, Sichuan, and other provinces along with Chongqing and Shanghai will peak around January 6 and the provinces located on the southeast coast will peak around the Lunar New Year.
According to RFI, Michael Ryan, head of WHO’s emergency management department, told the media at its headquarters in Geneva, “The explosive upsurge in cases in China is not due to lifting strict restrictions of the ‘zero-COVID’ policy. It began before the policy was eased.” This statement refuted claims that the sudden reversal of the policy led to a spike in the number of infections.
The Urban Data Group said that China should have relaxed extreme measures as early as March. However, at that time, the regime chose to continue shutting down cities.
The Urban Data Group has consolidated its calculations based on public information, aggregating each lockdown area by the number of lockdown days, excluding those under lockdown for less than 5 days from the beginning of March. By the end of November, “a total of 1 billion people in China have been under lockdown for an average of 27 days.”