According to a survey conducted by Change Research on Aug. 26, after the Democratic National Convention President Trump’s approval ratings went up at the same time that public concern about the CCP Virus pandemic dropped by 4 points.

The polls compare a period before the Democratic National Convention, Aug. 7-9, with a period after Aug. 21-23, reflecting one to two more points in favor of President Trump in what are considered the six battleground states, meaning they are not considered fully Democratic or Republican states and usually decide the election.

Forty-seven percent of all respondents approve of the president’s handling of the pandemic, 51% are satisfied with the economic recovery, and 45% approve of the president’s overall performance.

Supporters gather for President Donald Trump’s visit at Flavor First Growers and Packers in Mills River, N.C., on Aug. 24, 2020. (Carlos Barria/Reuters)

The survey sample was of 4,904 people in the six states and has a margin of error of approximately 1.4 points. 

Arizona:
Before: Biden 45%, Trump 44%
After: Biden 49%, Trump 47%

Florida:
Before: Biden 49%, Trump 44%
After: Biden 50%, Trump 46%

Michigan:
Before: Biden 50%, Trump 43%
 After: Biden 48%, Trump 44%

North Carolina:
Before: Biden 48%, Trump 47%
After: Biden 47%, Trump 48%

Pennsylvania:
Before: Biden 49%, Trump 44%
After: Biden 48%, Trump 46%

Wisconsin:
Before: Biden 49%, Trump 43%
After: Biden 47%, Trump 44%

However, beyond the margin of error calculated in each survey, the final result remains far from what can be predicted as was the case in the 2016 election when national polls showed Hilary Clinton leading Trump by 14 points, but it was Trump who finally became president.

REFILE CORRECTING LOCATION Supporters gather for President Donald Trump as he arrives at Asheville Regional Airport in Asheville, N.C., on Aug. 24, 2020. (Carlos Barria/Reuters)

The silent majority

In an interview with Fox News on June 22, President Trump referred to what his followers call “the silent majority”: “There is a lot hidden support. People in our country that don’t riot, don’t protest … you know, they work hard, they never had a voice until I came. … We call them the forgotten men and women. … They were forgotten by the politicians. They showed up in ’16 and I think they are going to show up in larger numbers in ’20.”