With less than a month to go before the general election, President Donald Trump leads the way in voting intentions for Democratic candidate Joe Biden in Florida, according to a new poll.
InsiderAdvantage, published exclusively by Fox News 35 Orlando, shows that 46% of the electorate supports the president, while Biden reaps 43% in the Sunshine State.
Ten percent of those polled have not yet decided for whom to vote and 1 percent said they are leaning toward the Libertarian Party candidate, Jo Jorgenson.
What is relevant about the poll is that it was conducted between Oct. 6 and Oct. 7, that is, after President Trump left Walter Reed Hospital after being diagnosed with the CCP (Chinese Communist Party) Virus (COVID-19).
The poll was based on the electoral preferences of a group of 400 likely Florida voters.
It should be noted that while President Trump leads Biden by three points, that difference is less than the survey’s margin of error, which is 4.9 percent.
According to InsiderAdvantage, a pollster who has conducted polls for many media in the United States, President Trump has a greater advantage among people aged 45 and older with almost 63% of the white vote, while Biden has the upper hand among Hispanic voters with 62%.
“Florida remains up for grabs,” said InsiderAdvantage founder Matt Towery Sr. “To paint it blue or red on any projected electoral map at this point would be pure folly,” he added in a dialogue with Fox News 35 Orlando.
Towery was one of the few pollsters to predict President Trump’s victory in 2016, indicating that many polls did not accurately reflect support for the Republican candidate.
In Towery’s words, that scenario seems to be repeating itself.
“Once again, based on poor data and or weighting, many of the polls we are seeing simply are not picking up the actual level of support for President Trump,” he said, noting that, for example, this recent InsiderAdvantage poll shows that the president is garnering 12% of the African American vote in Florida.
According to the experts, the 29 electoral votes Florida puts at stake could be decisive in defining the direction of the election.
In 2016, then-candidate Donald Trump won the state and the Republicans maintained their performance two years later, when the mid-term elections were held in the races for governor and senator with Ron DeSantis and Rick Scott winning, respectively.