The progress of the Russian-Ukrainian war is affecting high-level Chinese power politics leading up to the 20th National Congress.
Which side to take has become one of the variables in developing China’s current situation.
According to Chen Pokong, a Chinese-American political commentator, Beijing already knows Russia’s Ukraine situation is over.
The Wall Street Journal reported that Chinese tech companies quietly leave Russia under U.S. sanctions and supplier pressure.
Chinese state-owned companies and banks have stopped opening Russia’s accounts to avoid secondary sanctions; this indirectly shows that Beijing’s pro-Russian policy has stalled.
China’s central regime was always trying to avoid condemning the Moscow invasion saying Russia was [quote] “conducting a special military operation.” [end quote]
On April 30, state media Xinhua published an interview with Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba. Xinhua mentioned the word [quote] “invasion” [end quote] four times, three of which expressed [quote] “Russian invasion of Ukraine.” [end quote]
As Chen Pokong put it, that was very rare and difficult for Xinhua News Agency to publish in support of Ukraine.
The Russian invasion reflects the dilemma; China is trying to adapt to Russia’s ineffective war, and under international pressure, Beijing has turned its back on its Russian ally.