Many international intelligence services are constantly scrutinizing the Chinese regime for signs of a probable date for an attack on Taiwan.
While the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has proposed other alternatives, all of them are unacceptable to the Taiwanese, as they undermine the valuable democratic system by which they govern themselves.
The results of the recent 20th CCP National Congress show a more authoritarian Politburo that would prefer to invade Taiwan, and the consensus is that military action may be closer than previously projected.
In this case, the extensive research and dedication of international journalist Jennifer Zeng, allows her to propose a possible CCP nationally coordinated plan to attack Taiwan, according to her October 28 video.
Her plan is three pronged: the “zero-COVID” policy, the re-establishment of a cooperative system abandoned since the 1970s, and the complete isolation of the Chinese people from internet communication with foreign countries.
The unusual ‘zero-COVID’ policy
It should be recalled that since the appearance of the COVID-19 virus, Chinese citizens have had no respite from the strict quarantine measures impact their lives.
While the rest of the world had made most of these control measures obsolete, in China, for tens of millions of people, they have become a real nightmare.
For Zeng, the CCP imposes these rules “to control the population, to test people’s endurance, and to get them used to living in such harsh conditions, so that when war comes, everyone will be prepared and can live in extremely difficult war conditions for a long time.”
Anachronistic Supply and Marketing Cooperatives
Zeng postulates that the Chinese regime intends to be self-sufficient, so that it can largely dispense with supplies from the rest of the world.
To facilitate the exchange of basic goods among villagers, the CCP has reinstated an archaic marketing system not used since the late 1970s—China’s national Gong Xiao She (供销社), or Supply and Marketing Cooperative system.
During its heyday, there was a single source with “the right to buy products from peasants and factories, and people could only buy products from these stores. There were no independent stores. Also, there was a rationing system. Everything was rationed.”
Zeng shares her memories as a child, “When I was a little girl, everyone had only 0.44 pounds of pork and cooking oil every month. Yes, for one month, only less than half a kilo of pork and cooking oil.”
These cooperatives began to reappear after 35 years of extinction. They had been condemned to the back pages of history by the creation of stores and supermarkets and shopping malls of all kinds in the country.
Then, they were first reintroduced in rural areas, then they started popping up in cities. Data from October 17 shows that there were already 1,373 cooperatives in Hubei province alone, covering almost all of its municipalities.
By the end of 2021, there were about 677,600 cooperatives in the country. Also, in this year, sales reached $407 billion.
While this figure is equivalent to 13% of total national retail sales, returning to it is unprecedented, and complete implementation could be realized very quickly.
The role of these cooperatives, as Zeng infers, “is to control all resources and consumer goods in China, and this is a necessary step for China to prepare for a war against Taiwan.”
She adds, “As soon as war breaks out, the U.S. and other countries can impose sanctions on China.”
This part of Zeng’s theory could be corroborated by a tweet from netizen, Anonymous_Wxyq, on October 30, who praises a return to the supposed prosperity of grandparents, “Nanjie village in a certain place in China, CCP village committee speaker broadcast of common prosperity. Everything is back, and the grandparents’ generation is now experiencing that era again!”
Moreover, another tweet thread by the user, @__Inty__, refers to those regional isolation projects saying, Welcome to “closed-loop development, a big rice pot and common prosperity.”
In another message, the same user gives some images about that isolation system, “In the future, it will be stipulated that each community will have a production workshop. Closed-loop development, segregated employment, never need to leave a small area (prison) (prison).”
The “Chinese internet of the new era”
According to Zeng, the CCP also plans to replace parts of “The TCP/IP protocol stack, which is the fundamental part of the seven-layer stack, the foundation of the internet.”
She adds that the parts to be inserted have separate intellectual property rights belonging to the CCP.
Based on these technical modifications, the Chinese population will be completely cut off from foreign exchanges via the internet.
Only a few points will remain connected to the outside internet, and only for the military. In principle, websites registered in China will only be accessible from inside the country, using a complex system of filters imposed by the Chinese regime.
Following the new appointments of members of the Politburo, there has been a feeling that “airs of war” are flowing in the CCP.
Critics found Xi Jinping’s visit with members of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the CCP Central Committee to the Yan’an revolutionary memorial site in Shaanxi province on October 27 very evocative in this regard.
According to Deutsche Welle on October 29, commentator Bill Bishop said, “Xi Jinping seems to be sending the signal … to prepare for tough times ahead and to prepare for the struggle.”
For some, the future does not look so rosy. Worse, there are those who believe that the plight of Uyghurs and other forced labor prisoners in Xinjiang will soon spread to the majority Han population.
This is how Twitter user @Ermuhameed1 put it in one of his tweets on October 30, “In China, Xinjiang, Tibetans, Mongolians are second-class citizens, and now Han Chinese are like that.”
He added, “Do you still remember a few years ago, there was a very realistic saying, (Today in Xinjiang is tomorrow for mainland Chinese). When Xi Jinping’s 20th National Congress was re-elected, the hard days of Han people also began.”
Definitely, the situation today is very different from 40 or 50 years ago. The mentality of the Chinese has changed, despite the strong propaganda imposed by the CCP.
In several regions of the country, and for various reasons, citizens have dared to rebel, so it is to be expected that not everyone will submit as peacefully as in the past.
It is even possible that the existing precarious social stability will slip out of the hands of the Chinese regime, much sooner than might be expected, despite the enormous repressive system at its disposal.
Thus, the general context observed in this great East Asian country seems favorable to Zeng’s predictions, and with it, the risk of military aggression against Taiwan increases.
The results of such a campaign are unpredictable, but the biggest loser could be the CCP, leading to its disappearance as the highest regulator of China.
However, as the well-informed Zeng explained in another of her articles, the Chinese people are capable enough to carry on after the possible ouster of the CCP.