One Japanese journalist has predicted that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) will soon become unstable and collapse.
After attending a symposium on new books at the Eslite Xinyi Store in Taipei on Sunday (Dec 4), Yaita Akio, chief of the Taipei Bureau of Sankei Shimbun, shared on Facebook his opinion about CCP.
Yaita said that Hsieh Chin-ho’s new book “Changed China Dream” and “post-CCP China” by Fan Chou are both rare and excellent books that interpret China’s future.
Yaita said that the books find answers to the question, “In an all-out confrontation with the U.S., what kind of risks will China face if it fails? What should Taiwan do?”
According to the Japanese journalist, this perspective is critical “because China basically has no chance of winning in a confrontation with the U.S.”
He then explains why China’s regime cannot win against the U.S.
Yaita considers there are two reasons.
First, China’s regime will not continue to reform and open up.
Second, from the US-China trade war in 2018 to the Russia-Ukraine war, the world has gone from the Cold War to a Hot War. In a sense, the Russo-Ukrainian war represents the war between China and the U.S., and Russia, representing China, “is already showing signs of failure.”
Besides, the Xi Jinping faction is divided internally. This is reflected by former CCP’s general secretary Hu Jintao being disrespected at the last 20th Congress.
In addition, the contradiction between China’s regime and the liberal democracies has become apparent. This is reflected in Xi’s rebuke of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for disclosing the contents of the meeting between the two to the press.
In addition, the recent “White Paper movement” has shown the growing conflict between the CCP and the people.
Therefore, Yaita commented that “The CCP is facing the most complicated and turbulent era since its establishment.”
He predicted that what Taiwan is facing may not be a powerful China but “a China that will soon be unsustainable, a China in the ‘post-CCP era.'”