As Russia invades Ukraine, China’s military aircraft continue to intrude into the airspace around Taiwan. The outside world is worried that the Chinese regime will take advantage of the chaos to send troops to Taiwan. The Internet even circulated the saying, “Ukraine today, Taiwan tomorrow.” However, U.S.-based commentator Lan Shu said Taiwan is entirely different from Ukraine, and China does not easily attack Taiwan.


On Feb. 24, the full-scale war between Russia and Ukraine broke out. Since then, the military threat from China to Taiwan has been growing. On the same day, two Chinese fighter jets intruded into Taiwan’s southwestern air defense identification zone (ADIZ) again.

The outside world is worried that Beijing may take advantage of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine to launch military aggression against Taiwan. Many political parties in Taiwan have also warned that Russia’s actions against Ukraine are worrying and Taiwan cannot become the next Ukraine.

In response to this incident, on Feb. 25, Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen condemned Russia for undermining global and regional stability and peace. She said, “I want to stress that the situation in Ukraine and in Taiwan Strait are fundamentally different, not only because of the natural barrier of the Taiwan Strait but also Taiwan’s geopolitical and strategic status.”

U.S.–based current affairs commentator Lan Shu said: “The CCP does not stop interfering in Taiwanese society. Western countries will pay more attention to Taiwan in the future, and the CCP will also increase its infiltration of Taiwan. If Taiwan’s 23 million people cannot maintain the sovereignty of the Republic of China, then Taiwan will become the next Hong Kong in the future.


The Taiwan Ministry of National Defense stated that the country’s three armed forces are on high alert, closely monitoring the situation around the Taiwan Strait and the dynamics of the Chinese army. Furthermore, the Taiwanese Army will make the best preparations for safeguarding national security.

Chiu Chui-cheng, Deputy Minister of the Mainland Affairs Council, pointed out on Feb. 24 that foreign forces manipulated the situation in Ukraine in an attempt to influence Taiwanese society.

Chiu Chui-cheng said the government is currently preparing to strengthen security in the Taiwan Strait and stabilize Taiwan’s economy while ensuring national security.

Lan Shu said: “It doesn’t matter what Beijing wants to do. The most important thing right now is the determination of Western countries to defend Taiwan and the determination of Taiwan to defend itself in this case. Unlike Ukraine, Taiwan does not have any security agreement with the U.S., but the U.S. and Taiwan have the U.S.-Taiwan Relations Act and Six Guarantees to safeguard Taiwan’s security.”


Li Zhengxiu, a military expert at Taiwan’s National Policy Research Foundation, said: “Taiwan cannot be 100% assured because the CCP has repeatedly refused to give up the use of force against Taiwan. For Taiwan, because of the natural danger of the Taiwan Strait, it will not be like Ukraine, to face a long-term invasion of a powerful enemy like Russia.”


Taiwan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs also stated on Feb. 25 that Taiwan, as a member of the democratic camp of the international community, firmly defends the universal core values of democracy, freedom, the rule of law, and human rights.

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs also pointed out that to urge Russia to stop its military aggression against Ukraine, the government has announced that Taiwan will participate in the international community’s economic sanctions against Russia.

Li Zhengxiu: “Taiwan does occupy a very important hub position. For the United States, Taiwan is more important than Ukraine. Moreover, Taiwan occupies an important position in the international semiconductor industry supply chain, making it impossible for the United States, Japan and the European Union to ignore.”


President Tsai Ing-wen convened a national security meeting on Feb. 23. In the meeting she issued four instructions;

  • Calling on Russia and Ukraine to resolve disputes peacefully;
  • Continuing to strengthen military preparations across the Taiwan Strait;
  • Comprehensively improving response to cognitive operations;
  • Continuing to respond to economic variables and maintain stability in prices, commodities, and the stock market.

In addition, Tsai Ing-wen’s government calls on the Chinese authorities to correctly judge the situation, assume international responsibilities, and oppose Russia’s violation of Ukraine’s sovereignty.


Li Zhengxiu: “Taiwan’s role in such a region is indeed the concern of all countries. So in addition to strengthening its own combat readiness and strengthening foreign exchanges with other countries, the more important thing is how to make itself a strong fortress that the CCP does not dare to touch.”


Lan Shu, said that the Ukraine incident will only be more favorable to Taiwan, as the Western countries, represented by the United States, will pay more attention to Taiwan. Therefore, it will be easier for Taiwan to obtain weapons and various resources from the West in the future.

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